Latest Posts
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Week 13 Elo Rankings
The unpredictableness that has been 2020 continued this past weekend, with a slew of cancellations, along with some slightly surprising results. Rutgers brought Michigan to triple-overtime but came up just short, while Northwestern went to 5-0 and 20th in our Elo rankings after defensive standoff where they got the better of Wisconsin. Indiana also put
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Podcast: Backwards Big Ten, Betting with Elo + Week 12 Picks
Indiana and Northwestern are 4-0. That’s all you need to know about how 2020 is going. We discuss the chaos in the Big Ten, diagnose why Elo struggles against Vegas, and preview some Top 25 matchups. 2:54 – Should Will Levis start over Sean Clifford for PSU? 9:09 – Playoff Picture and potential conference championship
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Week 12 Win Probabilities
Get ready for the weekend and all the biggest matchups by reviewing Elo’s win probabilities for Week 12 of the college football season.
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Podcast: 2OT Thriller, The Hangover Effect + James Franklin = Ted Lasso?
We recap a crazy Clemson-Notre Dame game, talk about the big-win hangover, and discuss Penn State’s current issues. 2:20 – Clemson-ND and Ian Book’s boring name 5:40 – Season sim and rest of the season outlook 10:12 – Penn State 13:20 – Is James Franklin subscribing to the Ted Lasso coaching philosophy? 18:17 – Our
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CFB Mythbusters: The Big-Win Hangover
You’ve heard it before. A team get’s a “big” win over a highly ranked opponent, or maybe an upset win as an underdog. The next week, what do the analysts all say? “Coming off a big win last week, can they keep that same energy up and stay focused? Expect a bit of a hangover
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Podcast: Notre Dame vs. Uiagalelei, Ohio St. Lock Up Big Ten East, Big-12 Done and Pac-12 Back
Ohio State’s path to the Big Ten Championship looks smooth from here-on-out, we recap the OSU-Penn State game, talk about Notre Dame’s chances against Clemson with a backup QB, and pick the Florida-Georgia game. 00:21 – Wisconsin misses a second-straight weekend due to COVID 4:00 – Ohio State vs. Penn State recap and advanced stats
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Podcast: Bill Connelly’s Points Rubric, Devyn Gurley + Ohio State vs. Penn State
We go through Bill Connelly’s article on the value of key plays, the statistical difference between great and elite teams, and how it all relates to EPA (preread here). PLUS, Kyle tries to defend Sean Clifford, we recap the first week of Big Ten Football, and preview Week 9 including the game formerly known as the WHITE OUT. 2:14
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