Now before you close out of this article, I'm going to warn you: I'm going to bash college football, the sport you and I both love, a lot during this article. I'm also going to give it some credit. Please don't get mad: I've tried to give as fair and thorough an analysis of the … Continue reading Was the 2020 College Football Season a Success?
Posts
Comparing Third Down Conversion Rate by Distance to Go
In almost every game, announcers find a point to mention each team’s third down conversion rate. Sometimes it’s their conversion rate for that game only, and sometimes it’s their conversion rate for the whole season and a ranking of how that compares to other teams. In these situations, I find the information lacking: they say … Continue reading Comparing Third Down Conversion Rate by Distance to Go
Podcast: National Championship Recap and 2020 Wrap Up
We wrap up a 2020 College Football season like no other, discuss the National Championship game where Alabama defeated Ohio State, recap our favorite games and moments from this season, and finish off with our final Elo Rankings of the year. Alabama defeats Ohio State in the National Championship (2:55-8:51)2020 Season Highlights and Our Top … Continue reading Podcast: National Championship Recap and 2020 Wrap Up
Podcast: CFB National Championship Stats (Elo, EPA, Success Rates) + Predictions
In our final preview show of the 2020 College Football season, we pick the National Championship game, plus recap the CFP semifinal games and react to the Heisman winner, DeVonta Smith. DeVonta Smith wins the 2020 Heisman Trophy Award (1:20-7:30)Alabama defeats Notre Dame fairly easily (7:30-11:57)Ohio State shocks Clemson with an impressive performance (11:58-20:20)National Championship … Continue reading Podcast: CFB National Championship Stats (Elo, EPA, Success Rates) + Predictions
Bowl Game Win Probabilities
Win probabilities for remaining bowl games, including the CFB Playoff Semifinal matchups and the rest of the New Year's Six bowl games. Home-field advantage adjustments were removed for these games. Elo win probabilities for all the upcoming bowl games.
Podcast: CFB Playoff Semifinal Picks + Rest of NY6 Bowl Games
Our first live show on Twitter brings bowl-season picks using Elo ratings, Expected Points Added, and success rates. Hear our thoughts on all the New Year's Six bowl games, including the two College Football Playoff Semifinals. Liberty's kneeling struggles vs. Coastal Carolina (1:50-7:49)Alabama-Notre Dame (8:15-17:16)Clemson-Ohio State (17:20-23:30)Florida-Oklahoma (23:35-27:22)Georgia-Cincinnati (27:23-31:49)Auburn-Northwestern (31:50-35:37)Texas A&M-UNC (35:38-38:18)Elo Picks (38:19-41:30) Join … Continue reading Podcast: CFB Playoff Semifinal Picks + Rest of NY6 Bowl Games
Podcast: Conference Championship Recap + Heisman Prediction Model
Happy Holidays from the Staturdays crew! We recap the conference championship weekend, our new Heisman prediction model, and our thoughts on the CFB Playoff selection and how it compared to Elo. Thank you to all our listeners (00:00-3:50)Clemson-Notre Dame Round 2 (4:58-11:38)Florida-Alabama SEC Championship (16:38-27:10)College Football Playoff final rankings and selections (27:10-43:05)Heisman Prediction Model and … Continue reading Podcast: Conference Championship Recap + Heisman Prediction Model
Predicting the Heisman Winner After Kyle Trask’s 3-Interception Loss
Kyle Trask was a "shoe"-in for Heisman. Now the shoe is on the other foot (Mac Jones's). The name Kyle had gotten a bad rap in the last year. People think that all we do is drink Monsters and pop wheelies on our ATVs with our cousins at the campground. Kyle Trask was supposed to … Continue reading Predicting the Heisman Winner After Kyle Trask’s 3-Interception Loss
Week 16 Win Probabilities
It's conference championship week. The most closely contested of the conference championship games is projected to be the Notre Dame-Clemson game for the ACC title. Let's check out who Elo likes in all this week's matchups. Please note that Washington was replaced with Oregon for the Pac-12 championship. USC's win probability for that game is … Continue reading Week 16 Win Probabilities
Podcast: The Shoe Throw and Conference Championship Picks
Florida fall a foot short of victory and Kyle Trask is no longer a shoe-in for the Heisman. LSU-Florida and the shoe-toss (3:40-10:45)USC-UCLA (10:45-17:07)Penn State on a three-game win streak (17:08-22:26)Heisman Odds Updated (22:28-31:15)College Football Playoff Rankings (32:05-42:06)Conference Championships Preview (42:18-58:08) Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PMFollow us on TwitterSubscribe to … Continue reading Podcast: The Shoe Throw and Conference Championship Picks
