Latest Posts
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Week 16 Win Probabilities
It’s conference championship week. The most closely contested of the conference championship games is projected to be the Notre Dame-Clemson game for the ACC title. Let’s check out who Elo likes in all this week’s matchups. Please note that Washington was replaced with Oregon for the Pac-12 championship. USC’s win probability for that game is…
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Podcast: The Shoe Throw and Conference Championship Picks
Florida fall a foot short of victory and Kyle Trask is no longer a shoe-in for the Heisman. LSU-Florida and the shoe-toss (3:40-10:45) USC-UCLA (10:45-17:07) Penn State on a three-game win streak (17:08-22:26) Heisman Odds Updated (22:28-31:15) College Football Playoff Rankings (32:05-42:06) Conference Championships Preview (42:18-58:08) Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8…
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What Went Wrong? 2020 Regular Season Recap
Hello Nittany Nation, I am back with a little ‘regular season’ wrap up for this year’s Penn State football season. Things have been a bit busier this year for me, so I have not been able to do a deep dive into the games each week like I did last year – but I look…
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Week 16 Elo Rankings
Well folks, after 15 weeks that felt like 30 weeks, we finally made it. Conference Championship week is here, and all five Power-5 conferences are hosting games. We’ll have those win probabilities up later this week, but for now, let’s see how the Elo rankings look after the regular season. For more CFB Playoff analysis,…
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Week 15 Win Probabilities
We’re in the final stretch. The regular season winds down this weekend and then it’s conference championship time!
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Week 15 Elo Rankings
After 14 weeks of college football, Elo has the same top 4 as the College Football Playoff Committee (in a slightly different order). After that, things look a bit different, notably with LSU at 5, who fell off significantly from last year’s National Championship team. With shortened seasons in some conferences, prior-year performance is still…
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Podcast: Michigan-Ohio State Cancelled + Week 15 Preview
The biggest game of the year in the Big Ten is cancelled and the #4 team in the CFB Playoff rankings has been disqualified from competing in the Big Ten Championship game. Michigan–Ohio State is Cancelled (2:24-14:42) Should the CFP open up to more conference champs this year? (15:00-17:05) CFB Playoff Rankings and Thoughts (17:06-20:08)…
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Podcast: Heisman Race Stats + Is Your Team Good After a Bye Week?
Kyle Trask and Mac Jones are the favorites to win this year’s Heisman, but Kyle thinks the ‘Bama QB isn’t getting enough love. We discuss why an extra week of rest and game prep may not be that helpful, and pick Week 14 games. Penn State are 1-0 (this week) (1:31) Other Notable Week 13…
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CFB Mythbusters: Do bye weeks help or hurt your team?
This week we’re talking about bye weeks. We could all use a break around this time of year, and even more so in 2020. They help you get refreshed, get your mind right, and get back out there better than before. Or do they? In the office, taking a break can mean playing catch-up later.…
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Week 13 Win Probabilities
We’ve got a long weekend of College Football ahead of us. Here’s how Elo feels about these matchups as we get deeper into this crazy 2020 season.
Staturdays 