Latest Posts
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Week 4 Elo Rankings
Here are the rankings for all FBS teams heading into Week 4 of the college football season, using our Elo rating system. We’ve revamped the table to include more info on who each team beat last week, and how many spots up or down in the rankings they moved. Utah and Indiana dropped out of…
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Quarterback Play After an Interception
I’m here to tell you how college football quarterbacks handle adversity. Which ones crawl under a rock to hide after throwing an interception, and which ones brush it off and get back out there. Basically, which QBs play better after throwing an interception—learning from their mistake—and which ones sink into a depression and lose all…
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Paper Tigers
Penn State Football took care of business last Saturday against a Ball State team that, while good in the MAC, was unable to compete with the Nittany Lions. Watching the game, I was yet again impressed with the defense and am excited to see what a full season at defensive end for Jesse Luketa is…
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“Oh-🦆”– Ryan Day
Plus: A thought about ‘Bama-Florida, and a 10% Vegas underdog 👀 Well that just happened… We ended up having some quality college football games—and even better weather—on Saturday. The sun was out, which meant double-TVs on the deck (had to watch the US Open women’s final too, of course!) And I watched another Pac-12 game,…
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Week 3 Elo Win Probabilities
ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt
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Wisconsin and Ball State Thoughts
It feels so much better to write about Penn State after a win. The first blog I sent out on Staturdays talked about how you were not going to find emotional angry outbursts in my work, and I promised it would be levelheaded analysis with enough statistical proof to backup my argument. Last season tested…
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Week 2 Elo Rankings
Here are the rankings for all FBS teams heading into Week 2 of the college football season, using our Elo rating system. Georgia worked their way up to 30 points below Clemson, from -112 the week before, but maintained their spot in 4th. They hold the 3rd best expected wins now behind Alabama and Ohio…
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Week 2 Elo Win Probabilities
ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt
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Season Simulations for all Power 5 Conference Teams: 9/7/2021
Using our Elo ratings, which serve as a measure of each team’s strength and update after each game, we simulated the remaining college football season 10,000 times. This was done for every matchup for every team across the sport, and we’ve separated out the result for each Power 5 conference below. Using our Elo ratings, we…
Staturdays 