Latest Posts
-
Week 1 Elo Win Probabilities
ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt
-
Grading the Best and Worst Score Bugs in Sports
The score bug is one of the greatest innovations in sports broadcasting. Some do it elegantly. Some try to ruin your whole viewing experience.
-
2021 Preseason Elo Ratings
It’s finally here: the 2021 College Football season. We’ve been waiting for a long 7 months for the return to a full schedule, and hopefully a sense of normalcy with fans back in the stands. And a new season means the return of our Elo ratings, a point-based rating system originating from chess and now…
-
Season Simulations for all Power 5 Conference Teams
Using our Elo ratings, which serve as a measure of each team’s strength and update after each game, we simulated the upcoming college football season 10,000 times. This was done for every matchup for every team across the sport, and we’ve separated out the result for each Power 5 conference below. Using our Elo ratings, we…
-
Big 10 Conference Preview: Simulating the Season
The 2021 Big Ten season kicks off this Saturday with Nebraska vs. Illinois at 1 p.m. Eastern. This will be the first Big 10 game of the year, and the first game in over a year that will resemble what we are used to imagining Big 10 football to look like as the Big 10…
-
Clifford the Big Red Question Mark
I would like to start this off by saying I am aware this does not sound reasonable by any means, but in my mind, the entire 2021 Penn State Football season (on the offensive side of the ball) comes down to how well Sean Clifford plays against Wisconsin in week 1. Why Wisconsin? If the…
-
The Most Consistent Quarterbacks in College Football
Do you ever feel like your team’s quarterback chokes away the game’s biggest moments, or that he is a “baller” and elevates his game in the last two minutes? Well you’re in luck. I looked at just that, to see which QBs play differently given the situation they’re in in the game. I looked at…
-
Separating the Fans from the Stadium: Stadium Size, Attendance, and Home-Record in College Football
Today we’re looking at the interwoven relationships between stadium-size and attendance and a team’s performance at home and away. We’ll look at how this relationship changed in 2020 when fans were not able to attend most games. We’re going to try to separate the attendance from the venue size to see if having a packed…
-
Home-Field Advantage in 2020? It’s Complicated
You’ve heard of home-field advantage, but it’s always in the context of the advantage that a home-crowd gives a team. But what if that stadium were empty? Well sure enough, we saw just that last year. Home-field advantage changed in 2020. That’s for sure. But by how much and why is less certain. Take, for…
Staturdays 