Latest Posts
-
Calculating Expected Value Using Moneylines
This is an excerpt from a recent edition of the Staturdays newsletter. Subscribe to get weekly content like this in your inbox. Let’s talk moneylines and expected value, something that’s essential to understand if you want to stand a chance at profiting off sports betting in the long run. Before I go into too much…
-
Week 7 Elo Rankings
After a wild Week 6 that saw the #1 team drop to unranked Texas A&M, you’d expect a massive shakeup in the Elo ratings. Or at least you’d think. In reality, things haven’t moved all that much. While A&M were unranked in the AP Poll, Elo ratings actually put them at 13th last week. This…
-
Week 7 Elo Win Probabilities
ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt
-
Week 6 Elo Win Probabilities
ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt
-
Week 6 Elo Rankings
It’s Week 6 of the college football season. Here are our latest rankings using our Elo rating system. Florida lost in a shocker to Kentucky, dampening the impact of their impressive performance against Alabama. Kentucky are now quietly 5-0. Notre Dame also dropped one to Cincinnati, elevating Cincy to 11th and dropping the Irish down…
-
A Chance to Flip the Script
It is revenge time for the fourth ranked Nittany Lions as they are slated to play the Indiana Hoosiers under the lights at Beaver Stadium this Saturday. Last season kicked off with one of the most heartbreaking and season disrupting “losses” when Indiana defeated Penn State by one point in overtime on a questionable two-point…
-
Week 5 Elo Win Probabilities
ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt
-
Week 5 Elo Rankings
It’s Week 5 of the college football season. Here are our latest rankings using our Elo rating system. Minnesota was easily the biggest shock of the week, dropping 16 spots after a 14-10 loss to Bowling Green. UNC also had another disappointing loss, and a bad loss at that, this time to Georgia Tech. Baylor…
-
Week 4 Elo Win Probabilities
ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt ACC Big Ten Big-12 Pac-12 SEC American Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West Sun Belt
-
Villa no clue
3-0 right now. Three wins and zero losses. Penn State started the season with a road win against #12 Wisconsin, a blowout victory against the reigning MAC champions, and an impressive defeat of the #22 Auburn Tigers (and referees). Coming off of a 0-5 start to last year and all the question marks that Penn…
Staturdays 