Third Down Yards to Go Stats

  • 2021 Update: Third Down Conversion Rate by Distance to Go

    After the 2020 season, I wrote an article about third down conversion rates after adjusting for how many yards the team had to earn on that third down. The reason for this was because too often on broadcasts a team’s third down conversion rate is shown without any regard for how many yards the team has to earn on their current third down attempt. Fans, teams, and commentators know that a 3rd and 2 is more likely to be converted than a 3rd and 9, but they do not often differentiate between these two situations when talking about third down conversion rate. Luckily, that is what Staturdays is here for.

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