Quarterback Play After an Interception

I'm here to tell you how college football quarterbacks handle adversity. Which ones crawl under a rock to hide after throwing an interception, and which ones brush it off and get back out there. Basically, which QBs play better after throwing an interception—learning from their mistake—and which ones sink into a depression and lose all … Continue reading Quarterback Play After an Interception


Week 16 Elo Rankings

Well folks, after 15 weeks that felt like 30 weeks, we finally made it. Conference Championship week is here, and all five Power-5 conferences are hosting games. We'll have those win probabilities up later this week, but for now, let's see how the Elo rankings look after the regular season. For more CFB Playoff analysis, … Continue reading Week 16 Elo Rankings

Week 15 Elo Rankings

After 14 weeks of college football, Elo has the same top 4 as the College Football Playoff Committee (in a slightly different order). After that, things look a bit different, notably with LSU at 5, who fell off significantly from last year's National Championship team. With shortened seasons in some conferences, prior-year performance is still … Continue reading Week 15 Elo Rankings

CFB Mythbusters: Do bye weeks help or hurt your team?

This week we’re talking about bye weeks. We could all use a break around this time of year, and even more so in 2020. They help you get refreshed, get your mind right, and get back out there better than before. Or do they? In the office, taking a break can mean playing catch-up later. … Continue reading CFB Mythbusters: Do bye weeks help or hurt your team?

Week 13 Elo Rankings

The unpredictableness that has been 2020 continued this past weekend, with a slew of cancellations, along with some slightly surprising results. Rutgers brought Michigan to triple-overtime but came up just short, while Northwestern went to 5-0 and 20th in our Elo rankings after defensive standoff where they got the better of Wisconsin. Indiana also put … Continue reading Week 13 Elo Rankings

2020 Preseason College Football Elo Ratings

Earlier this month, we introduced College Football Elo Ratings: our new take on the stat used to track the strength and head-to-head win probabilities of teams. Now we'll use it to rank every team and give a prediction on how many wins they'll achieve. Right now, we're including teams that will not be playing in … Continue reading 2020 Preseason College Football Elo Ratings