Week 16 Elo Rankings

Well folks, after 15 weeks that felt like 30 weeks, we finally made it. Conference Championship week is here, and all five Power-5 conferences are hosting games. We'll have those win probabilities up later this week, but for now, let's see how the Elo rankings look after the regular season. For more CFB Playoff analysis, … Continue reading Week 16 Elo Rankings

Week 15 Elo Rankings

After 14 weeks of college football, Elo has the same top 4 as the College Football Playoff Committee (in a slightly different order). After that, things look a bit different, notably with LSU at 5, who fell off significantly from last year's National Championship team. With shortened seasons in some conferences, prior-year performance is still … Continue reading Week 15 Elo Rankings

Week 13 Elo Rankings

The unpredictableness that has been 2020 continued this past weekend, with a slew of cancellations, along with some slightly surprising results. Rutgers brought Michigan to triple-overtime but came up just short, while Northwestern went to 5-0 and 20th in our Elo rankings after defensive standoff where they got the better of Wisconsin. Indiana also put … Continue reading Week 13 Elo Rankings

Big Ten Kickoff: Elo Rankings, Best Matchups + Strength and Difficulty of Schedule

With the Big Ten kicking off this Friday night with Illinois at Wisconsin, and then a full slate of games on Saturday, we thought we'd look at each team's position heading into Week 1 (Week 8 for everyone else). Below are the rankings from 1-14 based on preseason Elo rating. As you can tell, Ohio … Continue reading Big Ten Kickoff: Elo Rankings, Best Matchups + Strength and Difficulty of Schedule

Updated Preseason College Football Rankings

We've updated our Elo Ratings since the last time we wrote about them. Specifically, we've recalculated the expected wins and win probabilities of all the teams based on their updated schedules. This resulted in lower overall win totals given the shortened season, but some teams have a higher win probability for the season as a … Continue reading Updated Preseason College Football Rankings

2020 Preseason College Football Elo Ratings

Earlier this month, we introduced College Football Elo Ratings: our new take on the stat used to track the strength and head-to-head win probabilities of teams. Now we'll use it to rank every team and give a prediction on how many wins they'll achieve. Right now, we're including teams that will not be playing in … Continue reading 2020 Preseason College Football Elo Ratings

Podcast: B10 and PAC-12 Postpone, and the Debut of CFB Elo Ratings

Big Ten and Pac-12 Postpone 2020 CFB, Elo Ratings, and Notre Dame to the ACC The Staturdays podcast is back on an eventful day for college football as the B10 and PAC-12 cancel their fall sports seasons. We did our first ever live podcast show on Facebook Live, so if you're interested in watching us … Continue reading Podcast: B10 and PAC-12 Postpone, and the Debut of CFB Elo Ratings