Week 16 Win Probabilities

It's conference championship week. The most closely contested of the conference championship games is projected to be the Notre Dame-Clemson game for the ACC title. Let's check out who Elo likes in all this week's matchups. Please note that Washington was replaced with Oregon for the Pac-12 championship. USC's win probability for that game is … Continue reading Week 16 Win Probabilities

Week 16 Elo Rankings

Well folks, after 15 weeks that felt like 30 weeks, we finally made it. Conference Championship week is here, and all five Power-5 conferences are hosting games. We'll have those win probabilities up later this week, but for now, let's see how the Elo rankings look after the regular season. For more CFB Playoff analysis, … Continue reading Week 16 Elo Rankings

Week 15 Elo Rankings

After 14 weeks of college football, Elo has the same top 4 as the College Football Playoff Committee (in a slightly different order). After that, things look a bit different, notably with LSU at 5, who fell off significantly from last year's National Championship team. With shortened seasons in some conferences, prior-year performance is still … Continue reading Week 15 Elo Rankings

Week 13 Elo Rankings

The unpredictableness that has been 2020 continued this past weekend, with a slew of cancellations, along with some slightly surprising results. Rutgers brought Michigan to triple-overtime but came up just short, while Northwestern went to 5-0 and 20th in our Elo rankings after defensive standoff where they got the better of Wisconsin. Indiana also put … Continue reading Week 13 Elo Rankings