Win probabilities for remaining bowl games, including the CFB Playoff Semifinal matchups and the rest of the New Year's Six bowl games. Home-field advantage adjustments were removed for these games. Elo win probabilities for all the upcoming bowl games.
It's conference championship week. The most closely contested of the conference championship games is projected to be the Notre Dame-Clemson game for the ACC title. Let's check out who Elo likes in all this week's matchups. Please note that Washington was replaced with Oregon for the Pac-12 championship. USC's win probability for that game is … Continue reading Week 16 Win Probabilities
Well folks, after 15 weeks that felt like 30 weeks, we finally made it. Conference Championship week is here, and all five Power-5 conferences are hosting games. We'll have those win probabilities up later this week, but for now, let's see how the Elo rankings look after the regular season. For more CFB Playoff analysis, … Continue reading Week 16 Elo Rankings
We're in the final stretch. The regular season winds down this weekend and then it's conference championship time!
After 14 weeks of college football, Elo has the same top 4 as the College Football Playoff Committee (in a slightly different order). After that, things look a bit different, notably with LSU at 5, who fell off significantly from last year's National Championship team. With shortened seasons in some conferences, prior-year performance is still … Continue reading Week 15 Elo Rankings
We've got a long weekend of College Football ahead of us. Here's how Elo feels about these matchups as we get deeper into this crazy 2020 season.
The unpredictableness that has been 2020 continued this past weekend, with a slew of cancellations, along with some slightly surprising results. Rutgers brought Michigan to triple-overtime but came up just short, while Northwestern went to 5-0 and 20th in our Elo rankings after defensive standoff where they got the better of Wisconsin. Indiana also put … Continue reading Week 13 Elo Rankings
Get ready for the weekend and all the biggest matchups by reviewing Elo's win probabilities for Week 12 of the college football season. Week 12 college football Elo win probabilities
A lot of cancellations and postponements plus several blowouts led to a somewhat forgettable Week 11 in College Football. However, we still saw some movement as Indiana went to 4-0 in the Big Ten, moving up to 19th in the Elo Rankings (they are up to 10th in the AP Poll, which has proven to … Continue reading Week 12 Elo Rankings
Clemson fall back down to Earth after a 2OT loss to Notre Dame, putting them almost even with Alabama. It's looking like ND, Ohio State, and Alabama could finish undefeated, with Clemson winning their remaining games and earning a rematch against the Irish in the ACC Championship. Florida and Oregon will likely have to win … Continue reading Week 11 Elo Rankings
