Below are the win probabilities for Week 10. We’ve got a full slate of games for all Power-5 conferences as the Pac-12 returns, and we have several discrepancies between Elo and Vegas, particularly in the Pac-12 as things are just starting up. And Elo continues to like Navy for some reason. Hard pass on that one (I’m sure they’ll win this week now).
Ohio State’s path to the Big Ten Championship looks smooth from here-on-out, we recap the OSU-Penn State game, talk about Notre Dame’s chances against Clemson with a backup QB, and pick the Florida-Georgia game.
00:21 – Wisconsin misses a second-straight weekend due to COVID
4:00 – Ohio State vs. Penn State recap and advanced stats
10:25 – Michigan St. Upsets Michigan in a toss-up game
We go through Bill Connelly’s article on the value of key plays, the statistical difference between great and elite teams, and how it all relates to EPA (preread here).
PLUS, Kyle tries to defend Sean Clifford, we recap the first week of Big Ten Football, and preview Week 9 including the game formerly known as the WHITE OUT.
2:14 – Bill Connelly’s article
5:50 – Success Rate recap
7:42 – Penn State vs. Indiana Recap
11:09 – Noah Cain out for PSU
11:37 – Positive Takeaways from the game
17:34 – Are Devyn Ford and Todd Gurley related?
18:14 – Michigan’s Joe Milton plus other Week 8 games
18:50 – Wisconsin’s QB room is decimated
28:06 – What the heck is Elo?
33:15 – How does Devyn Ford compare to last year’s backs?