Hello Nittany Nation, I am back with a little ‘regular season’ wrap up for this year’s Penn State football season. Things have been a bit busier this year for me, so I have not been able to do a deep dive into the games each week like I did last year – but I look … Continue reading What Went Wrong? 2020 Regular Season Recap
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Week 16 Elo Rankings
Well folks, after 15 weeks that felt like 30 weeks, we finally made it. Conference Championship week is here, and all five Power-5 conferences are hosting games. We'll have those win probabilities up later this week, but for now, let's see how the Elo rankings look after the regular season. For more CFB Playoff analysis, … Continue reading Week 16 Elo Rankings
Week 15 Win Probabilities
We're in the final stretch. The regular season winds down this weekend and then it's conference championship time!
Week 15 Elo Rankings
After 14 weeks of college football, Elo has the same top 4 as the College Football Playoff Committee (in a slightly different order). After that, things look a bit different, notably with LSU at 5, who fell off significantly from last year's National Championship team. With shortened seasons in some conferences, prior-year performance is still … Continue reading Week 15 Elo Rankings
Podcast: Michigan-Ohio State Cancelled + Week 15 Preview
The biggest game of the year in the Big Ten is cancelled and the #4 team in the CFB Playoff rankings has been disqualified from competing in the Big Ten Championship game. Michigan–Ohio State is Cancelled (2:24-14:42)Should the CFP open up to more conference champs this year? (15:00-17:05)CFB Playoff Rankings and Thoughts (17:06-20:08)BYU–Coastal Carolina Recap … Continue reading Podcast: Michigan-Ohio State Cancelled + Week 15 Preview
Podcast: Heisman Race Stats + Is Your Team Good After a Bye Week?
Kyle Trask and Mac Jones are the favorites to win this year's Heisman, but Kyle thinks the 'Bama QB isn't getting enough love. We discuss why an extra week of rest and game prep may not be that helpful, and pick Week 14 games. Penn State are 1-0 (this week) (1:31)Other Notable Week 13 Results … Continue reading Podcast: Heisman Race Stats + Is Your Team Good After a Bye Week?
CFB Mythbusters: Do bye weeks help or hurt your team?
This week we’re talking about bye weeks. We could all use a break around this time of year, and even more so in 2020. They help you get refreshed, get your mind right, and get back out there better than before. Or do they? In the office, taking a break can mean playing catch-up later. … Continue reading CFB Mythbusters: Do bye weeks help or hurt your team?
Week 13 Win Probabilities
We've got a long weekend of College Football ahead of us. Here's how Elo feels about these matchups as we get deeper into this crazy 2020 season.
Podcast: Air Yards + Live CFP Ranking Reactions & Week 13
We give our immediate reaction to the first round of College Football Playoff rankings from the committee, talk about Air Yards and the results from Drew charting the Iowa-Penn State game, and pick Week 13 games. 2:05 - College Football Playoff Committee initial rankings 11:42 - Week 12 Recap 22:10 - Passing Charts and Air Yards … Continue reading Podcast: Air Yards + Live CFP Ranking Reactions & Week 13
Takeaways From Charting the Penn State–Iowa Game
Penn State is now 0-5 and hasn't really been in what's felt like a close game since the opener at Indiana. Luckily, I found a way to (kind of) distract myself, charting each and every pass of this weekend's game using Jared Lee's fantastic Shiny app and code. Please check out his account and give … Continue reading Takeaways From Charting the Penn State–Iowa Game