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Week 9 Elo Rankings

Virginia Tech and Penn State had two of the largest losses in Elo points after disappointing losses to Syracuse and Illinois, the latter of the two going to a record nine overtimes. At one point, the two went back and forth 10 times without converting a single two-point conversion. There was about a 4 in … Continue reading Week 9 Elo Rankings

In-Depth: Predicting Spreads

This is an excerpt from a recent edition of the Staturdays newsletter. Subscribe to get weekly content like this in your inbox. Last week we talked at length about Moneylines. This week we’re talking spreads, a topic I tend to avoid. Reason: it’s a lot easier to predict which team is going to win, especially in college football—as … Continue reading In-Depth: Predicting Spreads

Calculating Expected Value Using Moneylines

This is an excerpt from a recent edition of the Staturdays newsletter. Subscribe to get weekly content like this in your inbox. Let’s talk moneylines and expected value, something that's essential to understand if you want to stand a chance at profiting off sports betting in the long run. Before I go into too much … Continue reading Calculating Expected Value Using Moneylines