Quarterback Play After an Interception

I'm here to tell you how college football quarterbacks handle adversity. Which ones crawl under a rock to hide after throwing an interception, and which ones brush it off and get back out there. Basically, which QBs play better after throwing an interception—learning from their mistake—and which ones sink into a depression and lose all … Continue reading Quarterback Play After an Interception

Season Simulations for all Power 5 Conference Teams: 9/7/2021

Using our Elo ratings, which serve as a measure of each team’s strength and update after each game, we simulated the remaining college football season 10,000 times. This was done for every matchup for every team across the sport, and we've separated out the result for each Power 5 conference below. Using our Elo ratings, we … Continue reading Season Simulations for all Power 5 Conference Teams: 9/7/2021

Season Simulations for all Power 5 Conference Teams

Using our Elo ratings, which serve as a measure of each team’s strength and update after each game, we simulated the upcoming college football season 10,000 times. This was done for every matchup for every team across the sport, and we've separated out the result for each Power 5 conference below. Using our Elo ratings, we … Continue reading Season Simulations for all Power 5 Conference Teams

The Most Consistent Quarterbacks in College Football

Do you ever feel like your team's quarterback chokes away the game's biggest moments, or that he is a "baller" and elevates his game in the last two minutes? Well you're in luck. I looked at just that, to see which QBs play differently given the situation they're in in the game. I looked at … Continue reading The Most Consistent Quarterbacks in College Football

Separating the Fans from the Stadium: Stadium Size, Attendance, and Home-Record in College Football

Today we're looking at the interwoven relationships between stadium-size and attendance and a team's performance at home and away. We'll look at how this relationship changed in 2020 when fans were not able to attend most games. We're going to try to separate the attendance from the venue size to see if having a packed … Continue reading Separating the Fans from the Stadium: Stadium Size, Attendance, and Home-Record in College Football

Home-Field Advantage in 2020? It’s Complicated

You've heard of home-field advantage, but it's always in the context of the advantage that a home-crowd gives a team. But what if that stadium were empty? Well sure enough, we saw just that last year. Home-field advantage changed in 2020. That's for sure. But by how much and why is less certain. Take, for … Continue reading Home-Field Advantage in 2020? It’s Complicated

Comparing Third Down Conversion Rate by Distance to Go

In almost every game, announcers find a point to mention each team’s third down conversion rate. Sometimes it’s their conversion rate for that game only, and sometimes it’s their conversion rate for the whole season and a ranking of how that compares to other teams. In these situations, I find the information lacking: they say … Continue reading Comparing Third Down Conversion Rate by Distance to Go

Predicting the Heisman Winner After Kyle Trask’s 3-Interception Loss

Kyle Trask was a "shoe"-in for Heisman. Now the shoe is on the other foot (Mac Jones's). The name Kyle had gotten a bad rap in the last year. People think that all we do is drink Monsters and pop wheelies on our ATVs with our cousins at the campground. Kyle Trask was supposed to … Continue reading Predicting the Heisman Winner After Kyle Trask’s 3-Interception Loss